Ducks Lose.

2013 South Oakland Ducks Baseball

The Pirates scored 9 runs on 4 hits, and we couldn’t string anything together against their lefty. On defense we started the game by committing 4 straight errors and allowing 5 unearned.

We dropped to 9th, and need help to make the playoffs now. We are a half game back of the Militia who play the Cherokee today, and the Black Sox beat the Bulldogs to pull 1.5 games ahead of us.

Our record is 7-13.

Our first sub-.500 season since 2006.

We play Elliot next saturday at Herschel Park at 6pm, and the Sox the day after at Beedle Park.

We’re also trying hard to get our West End games rescheduled, but their coach is hard to get ahold of for some reason.

If we win-out, we will make the playoffs unless the Militia win 6 of 7.

***

A look at the schedules of the teams in the 5-10 spots:

Right now, we’re the team I’m basing the magic numbers off of. The best we can do is finish 11-13, so the combination of opponent wins and Ducks losses that makes it impossible for us to catch them is the number.

It’s very likely i’m messing that up.

#5 Pirates (9-10)

Screen Shot 2013-07-06 at 12.51.49 PM

We’re probably not going to catch Pour House, we need them to sweep the Militia next weekend.

 Magic number: 2

#6 Cranberry (8-9)

 

Screen Shot 2013-07-06 at 12.39.54 PM

Brutal schedule down the stretch. Cranberry plays four games in four days to end the season. If my math is right, they need to schedule one more game. We need them to either completely tank, or to sweep Monroeville. they’ll probably beat the express, split with the militia and lose the rest.

Magic number: 3

#7 Black Sox (8-11-1)

Screen Shot 2013-07-06 at 12.33.19 PM

The the Sox are on fire.

My best guess is they split their next two and come into the last game of the season 9-12-1. Plus a phantom game somewhere.

Magic number 3.

#8 Militia (6-11)

Screen Shot 2013-07-06 at 12.32.53 PM

Magic number: 6

We have the tie breaker over Monroeville who doesn’t finish their season till tuesday the 16th.

#9 Ducks (7-13)

This is where we are. If the Militia win 5 of 7 we need to win out to catch them. Most likely scenario for them to win 6 of 7 and make it impossible to catch up, would be losing to the Cherokee and then winning out, which would put them at 12-12, but would bring Cranberry down to 8-11 and force them to take two from Jefferson Hills, Carrick, the Cherokee and the Bulldogs to get to ten wins.

Most likely they will go 4-3 in their last 7. It’d be nice if Carrick stole one tomorrow. As much as I hate rooting against Sorosky and Tremmel and those guys.

Carrick (6-13-1)

Screen Shot 2013-07-06 at 12.33.40 PM

The best Carrick can finish is 10-13-1. But if they do they will have to beat the Sox, Militia and Cranberry.

***

We played Elliot tough earlier this year. We can sneak one Saturday if we play infield and hit.

It’s going to be a shit show if not all the games get rescheduled and it effects teams getting into the playoffs.

None of this matters if we don’t play better.

 

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